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Thread: Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

  1. #1
    Senior Member VF1Skullangel's Avatar
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    Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

    Over the years I've noticed how a lot of the exotic cars we would typically replicate such as the Dodge Viper, 355, 308 and such are beginning to become rare and the reason being is that you could buy an original for about the same dispite the maintaince.

    With the next 10 years ahead of us could we expect to see cars such as the Lamborghini Diablo, Ferrari Testarossa to become a bargan? I've been watching the prices lately and for about the same as a Dodge Viper you could buy a real Ferrari Testarossa. Also for the same price as a new C6 Z06 or even a ZR1 you could buy a real Lamborghini Diablo.

    Tomorrow I'm going to be looking at a Lotus Esprit, its a 1994 with 50k on it and they want 24k, funny because I'm 24 years old! :



    At some point replicars such as the Lamborghini Countaches and Diablo's, Testarossa's will be paised out because as time passes on your gonna see a lot of those nicely kept exotic cars hitting the market at rock bottom prices!. Especially in the next 10 years where a lot of the cars from the 90's are gonna be at the weakest value before they start going back up. I can expect to see the days of the "Affordable" Lamborghini Diablo and Ferrari's in the next couple of years because now I'm starting to see more and more early dodge viper RT-10's on the street, 10 years ago you'd be lucky to see one once a year and it was quite an event but now its about as common as the Corvette, I've seen one at least once a month. The same with the Acura NSX another perfect example of where the exotic car market could be heading. Before I can remember talks of replicating the NSX on Fiero and MR2's, now you can buy one for about as much as a brand new Honda if you look hard enough.

    I can go as far to say that the current exotic car market will be quick to fallow. I've already seen a guy over on lambopit.com and he picked up a Gallardo for under 100k. I've seen many Murcielagos going for cheap like 112k cheap so I could see those depriating over a period of time. The Audi R8 and the Lotus Elise I'm predicting is going to be the cheapest exotic car bargan bar non in the future. Especially the Elise, now if I wanted to I can go lease one for $500 @ $29k but id rather wait for sometime to see that drop into the low teens which I know it will. The R8 I don't think will hold its value, it could be the next future donorcar along with the Elise for the kitcar world but I honestly do not see the Replicar industry taking off full flight this coming generation.

    Yeah Lamborghini and Ferrari, only god knows whats instore for us these next 10 years and without a doubt someone will get around to replicating those cars as well but now typical average guys like me who otherwise couldn't afford a lamborghini 10+ years ago now can as an option. Pretty soon we will have that option to take a real lamborghini or ferrari and customize it our specs, drop in a more reliable, more durable chevy or ford motor in it like that 308 had with the 3800 motor. We can go as far to take an OEM car perhaps "Update" very much like a Mike Vetter Supercar GT kit on the boxster.

    At this point I do see the Replica industry slowing down a bit, but the kitcars like the Factory Five GTM, Ultima and such will probably end up leading the way at some point.

    Last I'm going to make a final prediction that the Cobra kits are also going to start slowing down. There's way to damn many of them, no need to build more of them!.


  2. #2

    Re: Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

    DONT BUY THE LOTUS! $24k is a ripoff! You can get an Elise for less than that, and I have seen Twin Turbo Esprits (97+) go for $18-27k and those are much better than the 4cyl turbos

  3. #3

    Re: Are replicas going to be "Phased" out?

    I have owned a Ferrari 348, a few years ago, and it cost me 2k for a service. When I had a problem with it, I had to take it to a specialist, otherwise your car depreciates if you do not have good service and repair history. The older these cars get the more money you have to spend on maintenance (unless you're a dab hand at Ferrari & Lambo servicing). It feels great to own a real marque, but it doesn't feel so great when you pay through the nose, including sales depreciation (I lost 4K). I'm not a fan of the 355 reps on MR2, that's my choice, but I won't ever knock anyone who owns one because it actually makes sense. The newer kits look more convincing, you just have to take them as they are, otherwise you can look forward to spending $$$$, which is OK if you have money spare, but if you're on a budget, you're going to nregret it...just my 2 cents..

  4. #4

    Re: Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

    Cars depreciate in value - of course, the longer you wait the cheaper it's going to get. All of the cars you reference are 10-30 years old already. Replicas aren't going to be phased out; there will always be a newer car that someone wants to replicate, as well as a market for people wanting to spend $30K on a $200,000 supercar. The only thing that stands in the way are legal/copyright issues forcing replica manufacturers underground or out of business.

  5. #5
    Senior Member Jets303's Avatar
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    Re: Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

    I see where your coming from Skullangel, but the reality is market forces will drive demand, not depreciation values. As long as there is the weekend warrior with his welder, cutting torch and air compresor ready, there will be replicas. I dont care if the Lp640 only cost 100k, I still want to own one and I still want to be able to say I built it. Most people do this as a hobby, I know I do, and the outcome is a mere reward to your hard work. I love working on my car, and when Im finished you can bet your ass im gonna be starting a new one! But I see what ya mean

  6. #6
    Senior Member VF1Skullangel's Avatar
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    Re: Are replicas going to be "Paised" out?

    Quote Originally Posted by *fill-up*
    DONT BUY THE LOTUS! $24k is a ripoff! You can get an Elise for less than that, and I have seen Twin Turbo Esprits (97+) go for $18-27k and those are much better than the 4cyl turbos
    The Elise is to girly for me. :

    Thats a car you buy for your wife, I know I would if she wanted an exotic.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jets303
    I see where your coming from Skullangel, but the reality is market forces will drive demand, not depreciation values. As long as there is the weekend warrior with his welder, cutting torch and air compresor ready, there will be replicas. I dont care if the Lp640 only cost 100k, I still want to own one and I still want to be able to say I built it. Most people do this as a hobby, I know I do, and the outcome is a mere reward to your hard work. I love working on my car, and when Im finished you can bet your ass im gonna be starting a new one! But I see what ya mean
    I think thats always a plus to say "I built it" I mean I take pride in that when I'm driving my camaro, it looks like shit but I like it.

    What I see happening is a new market for exotic cars. Cheaper more affordable exotic cars even if it means an older exotic car with service records. Perhaps the need for replicars will not be as great.

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